IPCC AR6 Synthesis Report

 The IPCC AR6 Synthesis Report is due to be issued tomorrow. 

I predict that it will not say the following headline truths that desperately need to be understood.

1) Neither Net Zero Carbon nor the tougher Carbon Neutrality will stop the ice melting. If achieved they will leave any Carbon Dioxide we have added to the atmosphere up there. So average temperatures will stay at the elevated level that is melting Greenland and Antarctica. So we need to achieve Net Negative Carbon aka Carbon Negativity in order to reduce Carbon Dioxide level back to near normal.

2) Trying to control emissions isn't working and is highly unlikely to ever work, because it is the wrong end of the supply chain. We should be concentrating on controlling, rationing carbon extraction: limiting the global total of carbon extracted and burned. This ration needs to be steadily reduced down to sustainable levels.

3) Because currently the oceans and land naturally sequester about half the Carbon Dioxide we emit, the sustainable level of globally extracted carbon is not zero, but about a quarter of current levels. This is a level that fossil fuel and Big Oil should be able to live with. They might even increase profits because supply and demand will increase prices.

Martin Corney